Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent State Golden Flashes v Toledo Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent State Golden Flashes (Local)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.63%59.17%59.05%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.591.6364.52%63.13%62.89%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%40.83%40.95%41.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.302.302.3144.64%43.57%43.48%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kent State Golden Flashes (Local): 59.05%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 40.95%. For Kent State Golden Flashes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.63, with an expected value of -3.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -5.41%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:50
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 12:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.27%E -3.69%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 19:20
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-05-21 21:40