Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw St Owls v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

44%

56%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw St Owls (Local)

Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd

EV -4.76%

Edge -2.21%

Kelly -4.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.72%44.30%44.30%45.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.062.102.102.1548.54%47.58%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 55.70%1.80fair odd

EV -4.19%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -5.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.50%55.70%55.70%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.691.691.7259.88%59.17%59.35%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kennesaw St Owls (Local): 44.30%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 55.70%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -4.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-19 15:10
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-19 14:45
Bovada🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-19 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.44%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-19 15:00
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-19 15:15
1xBet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.74%E -4.24%K -8.25%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-19 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%	3.7%	2026-04-19 16:30