Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 65.44%1.53fair odd

EV -5.11%

Edge -3.52%

Kelly -11.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.36%65.42%65.63%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.431.431.4570.42%69.72%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 34.56%2.89fair odd

EV -3.24%

Edge -1.16%

Kelly -1.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.65%34.58%34.37%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.692.702.8038.46%37.15%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 65.44%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 34.56%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -3.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-09 22:34
BetMGM🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-10 13:40
1xBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-10 22:40
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-10 20:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-10 20:35
betPARX🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-10 20:35
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-10 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -5.32%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-10 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -5.32%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-10 22:15
Bovada🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-10 03:39
BetUS🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-10 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.05%E -2.62%K -4.17%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-10 22:43
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.41%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-10 13:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-10 21:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%	5.0%	2026-03-10 22:40