The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kansas St Wildcats v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 57.42%1.74fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.36%57.41%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.631.6962.50%61.23%61.16%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 42.58%2.35fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%42.64%42.59%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.202.202.2546.51%45.51%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 57.42%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 42.58%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -2.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 17:50
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.91%E -2.67%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.91%E -2.67%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 12:04
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -7.61%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 17:54
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.63%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:39
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.55%E -4.69%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.12%E -5.08%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.61%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:54
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.12%E -5.08%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.61%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:49
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.12%E -5.08%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.61%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%5.1%2026-04-05 17:50