The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kansas St Wildcats v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.76%55.87%56.02%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.681.681.7160.24%59.43%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.13%43.98%45.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.132.122.2048.31%46.99%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 55.83%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 44.17%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 15:19
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 02:35
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 04:35
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:03
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:49
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 19:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.32%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.32%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.32%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%3.4%2026-04-04 20:14