Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats v South Dakota St Jackrabbits

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 81.86%1.22fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -3.61%
Kelly -24.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%81.74%81.86%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.141.1788.50%87.29%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit)

Prediction 18.14%5.51fair odd
EV -0.234%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.052%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.26%18.14%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.075.005.5020.83%19.74%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 81.86%; South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit): 18.14%. For South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -0.234%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.93%E -2.69%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 15:40
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.04%E -4.35%K -31.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -12.02%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 15:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.86%E -5.10%K -39.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.30%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 16:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.68%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.30%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 16:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.30%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.30%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.50%E -6.63%K -57.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.77%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 85.10%5.71I 17.51%NM 14.90%17.5%2026-03-11 22:49