The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kansas St Wildcats v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 46.15%2.17fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.15%45.91%47.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.032.052.1051.02%49.24%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 53.85%1.86fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.69%53.85%54.09%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.741.741.7758.48%57.59%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 46.15%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 53.85%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -3.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:50
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:17
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 15:24
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 05:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:54
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:09
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:10
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%8.6%2026-05-10 15:34