The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kansas St Wildcats v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 44.11%2.27fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.38%44.55%44.07%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.102.1851.55%48.03%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 55.89%1.79fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.663%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.15%55.45%55.93%56.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.691.7860.24%58.67%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 44.11%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 55.89%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -0.517%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 19:04
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 18:59
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 19:03
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:54
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.60%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:27
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.04%E -2.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:09
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.81%E -3.74%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.81%E -3.74%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:39
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -9.13%E -4.43%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:39
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -14.43%E -7.44%K -15.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -0.517%E -0.291%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -14.43%E -7.44%K -15.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -0.517%E -0.291%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:49
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -14.43%E -7.44%K -15.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -0.517%E -0.291%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%5.0%2026-03-21 20:54