Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 51.88%1.93fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.75%52.00%53.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.801.801.8756.82%55.45%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 48.12%2.08fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.25%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.932.0053.48%51.72%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 51.88%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 48.12%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 00:05
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 20:09
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.71%E -2.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:39
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:04
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:59
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.75%E -1.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 20:06
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -4.23%E -2.13%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%4.1%2026-05-08 21:39