The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Kansas Jayhawks v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 55.57%1.80fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.49%55.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.701.7460.98%59.04%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 44.43%2.25fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.51%44.30%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.73%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 55.57%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 44.43%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.31%E -1.90%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:09
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -3.31%E -1.90%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -9.80%E -4.83%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:24
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.13%E -5.57%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.13%E -5.57%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.13%E -5.57%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.69%E -3.19%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:14
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.69%E -3.19%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.13%E -3.41%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.13%E -3.41%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:09
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.09%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:24
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.09%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.69%E -3.19%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -6.24%E -2.96%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:29
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.20%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.19%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.87%E -5.41%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.87%E -5.41%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:34
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.87%E -5.41%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-05-09 18:29