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Kansas Jayhawks v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:03 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV -0.849%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.964%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%52.67%52.85%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.801.8858.48%55.85%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV -0.754%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.686%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.33%47.15%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.1054.05%50.95%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 52.74%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 47.26%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.754%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -0.849%E -0.451%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -12.57%E -6.79%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -0.849%E -0.451%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -12.57%E -6.79%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -0.849%E -0.451%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -12.57%E -6.79%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:59
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -2.96%E -1.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -10.21%E -5.37%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.49%E -1.90%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.73%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.73%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.73%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 16:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:59
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 15:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.754%E -0.359%K -0.686%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%2.8%2026-05-10 15:59