Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 66.95%1.49fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -9.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.70%67.08%66.51%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.421.4373.53%71.35%70.42%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 33.05%3.03fair odd
EV -0.861%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.431%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%32.92%33.49%34.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.852.813.0036.76%35.09%35.59%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 66.95%; Utah Utes (Visit): 33.05%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.861%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -7.14%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -7.14%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 15:29
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:46
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:55
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.60%E -5.51%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -7.60%E -5.51%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -3.84%E -1.32%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 15:40
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.