Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 61.48%1.63fair odd

EV -4.09%

Edge -2.62%

Kelly -7.31%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.10%61.54%61.38%62.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.531.521.5666.67%65.48%65.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 38.52%2.60fair odd

EV -1.77%

Edge -0.696%

Kelly -1.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.22%38.46%38.62%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.442.402.5542.55%41.06%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 61.48%; Utah Utes (Visit): 38.52%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 19:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-02 00:34
Bovada🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.48%E -4.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-02 15:14
1xBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.71%E -3.04%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.09%E -3.85%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-02 17:00
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.32%E -3.45%K -9.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-01 23:25
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.77%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-02 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-02 20:48
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.55%E -4.31%K -12.60%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.47%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-02 21:10
BetRivers🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.05%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-02 17:00
betPARX🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.05%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-02 17:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.05%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-02 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-02 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-02 19:05
BetUS🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.70%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-02 18:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%	5.3%	2026-04-02 22:14