Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 65.08%1.54fair odd

EV -2.38%

Edge -1.59%

Kelly -4.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.41%65.40%65.06%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.351.431.451.5074.07%69.90%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 34.92%2.86fair odd

EV +4.77%

Edge +1.59%

Kelly +2.38%

Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.03%34.60%34.94%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.742.703.0038.46%36.47%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 65.08%; Utah Utes (Visit): 34.92%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -12.14%E -9.00%K -34.70%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +4.77%E +1.59%K +2.38%G +0.114%	7.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
Bally Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -12.14%E -9.00%K -34.70%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +4.77%E +1.59%K +2.38%G +0.114%	7.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
betPARX🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -12.14%E -9.00%K -34.70%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +4.77%E +1.59%K +2.38%G +0.114%	7.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -6.94%E -4.85%K -16.14%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -3.62%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-04 16:04
Caesars🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-04 15:10
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-04 01:05
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-04 01:29
Bovada🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.94%E -4.85%K -16.14%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-04 04:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-04 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-04 15:10
1xBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-04 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-04 16:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.20%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-04 16:04
BetUS🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.20%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-04 15:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%	5.4%	2026-04-04 16:09