Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Sacramento St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 69.18%1.45fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -14.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.29%69.57%69.20%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.3775.19%74.01%73.80%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.43%30.80%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.043.003.4034.48%32.93%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 69.18%; Sacramento St Hornets (Visit): 30.82%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.79%E +1.41%K +1.99%G +0.095%4.6%2026-03-25 13:37
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.38%E -0.431%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 19:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.35%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.93%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.93%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.61%E -4.89%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.93%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.35%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 03:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.35%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 03:51
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 19:45
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 19:45
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 19:50
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -5.91%E -4.35%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -8.16%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 19:15
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 19:35
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%5.2%2026-03-25 19:40