Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -6.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.60%61.65%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.541.5766.67%65.27%65.15%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 38.60%2.59fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.40%38.35%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.432.432.6542.92%41.14%41.15%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 61.40%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 38.60%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +2.29%E +0.862%K +1.39%G +0.032%4.4%2026-06-06 22:18
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 22:19
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 22:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.05%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.05%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 22:19
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.21%E -2.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.29%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.07%E -4.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 22:19
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.07%E -4.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 22:19
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.07%E -4.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 39.37%1.00I 100.00%NM 60.63%64.9%2026-06-06 22:19