Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -6.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.88%52.99%53.05%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.7958.48%56.55%56.50%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.01%46.95%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.54%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 53.02%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 46.98%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -3.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.10%E -2.85%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -9.32%E -4.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 13:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.10%E -2.85%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -9.32%E -4.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.10%E -2.85%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -9.32%E -4.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 10:00
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.44%E -3.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 13:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.44%E -3.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 14:43
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 22:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 23:45
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 05:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:20
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.68%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 13:44
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 15:20
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.76%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -10.26%E -5.37%K -11.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 69.23%2.25I 44.44%NM 30.77%44.4%2026-03-17 17:00