Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.38
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 70.21%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 29.79%. For Baylor Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.32%E -5.55%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.28%E +0.378%K +0.535%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.73%E -6.71%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.18%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 20:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.73%E -6.71%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.18%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.92%E -4.42%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 20:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.02%E -6.13%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 20:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.11%E -2.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.65%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.65%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.32%E -5.55%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.14%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -5.22%E -3.86%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -9.74%E -3.21%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 20:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.92%E -4.42%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -10.63%E -3.54%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 20:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.