Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

76%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 76.24%1.31fair odd

EV -4.70%

Edge -3.76%

Kelly -18.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

74.75%76.21%76.34%80.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.161.231.231.2586.21%81.58%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd

EV +15.25%

Edge +3.14%

Kelly +3.96%

Growth +0.604%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.30%23.79%23.66%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.703.974.004.8527.03%25.19%25.00%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 76.24%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 23.76%. For Arizona Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -11.57%E -9.97%K -72.28%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV +15.25%E +3.14%K +3.96%G +0.604%	6.8%	2026-05-01 21:38
BetMGM🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.99%E -5.73%K -31.78%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.57%E -0.627%K -0.829%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-01 16:09
1xBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.04%EV -7.75%E -6.41%K -36.92%G +0.000%	4.06I 24.63%NM 22.96%EV -3.52%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-01 20:55
Caesars🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.82%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-01 22:05
DraftKings🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.47%E -4.41%K -22.78%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-01 00:05
FanDuel🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.23%E -5.06%K -27.08%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-01 17:44
888sport🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.99%E -5.73%K -31.78%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-01 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.99%E -5.73%K -31.78%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-01 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.99%E -5.73%K -31.78%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-01 21:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.99%E -5.73%K -31.78%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-01 17:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.75%E -6.41%K -36.92%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.23%E -5.06%K -27.08%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-01 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.82%G +0.000%	3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -8.75%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-01 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.82%G +0.000%	3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -8.75%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-01 14:05
BetRivers🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.23%E -5.06%K -27.08%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-01 18:19
betPARX🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.23%E -5.06%K -27.08%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-01 18:19
Bally Bet🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.23%E -5.06%K -27.08%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-01 18:20
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.99%E -5.73%K -31.78%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-01 13:10
BetUS🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.82%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-01 15:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%	4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%	4.9%	2026-05-01 22:54