Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.96
assuming max odds 1.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 33.24%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 66.76%. For James Madison Dukes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.96, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -1.60%E -0.541%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -7.88%E -5.71%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 13:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.26%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.88%E -5.71%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.26%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.88%E -5.71%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.26%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.88%E -5.71%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 03:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 07:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.87%E -4.17%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 08:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 03:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 03:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 10:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.32%EV -11.57%E -4.35%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.68%EV -7.21%E -5.19%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.