The School of College Oddsodds.college
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James Madison Dukes v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes (Local)

Prediction 15.96%6.27fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.333%
Kelly +0.394%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.78%15.90%15.90%16.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.845.756.4018.18%17.13%17.39%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 84.04%1.19fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -4.45%
Kelly -38.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.21%84.10%84.10%85.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.111.1390.91%89.84%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 15.96%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 84.04%. For James Madison Dukes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +2.13%E +0.333%K +0.394%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.25%E -0.709%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.25%E -0.709%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.25%E -0.709%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:50
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.25%E -0.709%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.55%E -6.87%K -75.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:39
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.24%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.24%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.24%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
1xBet🎯5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.63%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:39
DraftKings🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.04%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 12:19
MyBookie.ag🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.04%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.64%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 12:22
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.23%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.71%E -6.05%K -61.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-05-09 19:38