Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville St Gamecocks v Samford Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 81.06%1.23fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -18.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.09%80.97%80.91%82.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1988.50%86.74%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samford Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV +0.407%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.57%19.03%19.09%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.965.005.3022.22%20.15%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local): 81.06%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 18.94%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.407%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.41%E -7.44%K -64.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +0.407%E +0.077%K +0.095%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.41%E -7.44%K -64.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +0.407%E +0.077%K +0.095%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.41%E -7.44%K -64.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +0.407%E +0.077%K +0.095%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.79%E -5.90%K -45.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.49%E -0.286%K -0.354%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 18:10
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -6.79%E -5.90%K -45.24%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.43%EV -3.57%E -0.702%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:50
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 18:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.17%E -4.41%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.60%E -6.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.79%E -5.90%K -45.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.17%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.17%E -4.41%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.07%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 15:35
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.17%E -4.41%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.01%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 15:47
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.60%E -6.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.01%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 18:10
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -7.60%E -6.66%K -54.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.54%E -2.98%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.75%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 81.88%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.13%5.3%2026-03-17 19:15