Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville St Gamecocks v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 73.07%1.37fair odd

EV -5.01%

Edge -3.85%

Kelly -16.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.04%73.07%73.07%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.291.291.3077.52%77.40%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd

EV -5.74%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -2.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.93%26.93%26.93%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.353.443.453.5029.85%29.07%28.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local): 73.07%; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit): 26.93%. For Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.30, with an expected value of -5.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.70%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-02 15:45
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-01 19:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-02 02:35
Bovada🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.80%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 15:14
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.80%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-02 11:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 77.88%	3.52I 28.41%NM 22.12%	28.4%	2026-04-02 22:50