Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville St Gamecocks v Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 72.46%1.38fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -13.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.99%72.51%72.49%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.301.291.3278.74%77.05%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -0.847%
Edge -0.235%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.49%27.51%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.233.423.403.6030.96%29.25%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Local): 72.46%; Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit): 27.54%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.847%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -11.04%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 13:30
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.50%E -0.706%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 13:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%EV -5.80%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 13:18
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.22%E -0.627%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 13:19
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:30
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 15:08
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 22:40
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -0.847%E -0.235%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%9.3%2026-05-31 00:30