The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jacksonville Dolphins v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%40.39%40.41%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.322.312.4044.64%43.05%43.20%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 59.54%1.68fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.33%59.61%59.59%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.571.561.6164.94%63.82%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Dolphins (Local): 40.46%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 59.54%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.12%E -4.56%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 21:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 19:05
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 19:04
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 19:04
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 15:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 14:13
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.12%E -4.56%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 14:10
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -9.37%E -4.18%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%7.7%2026-03-09 21:40