Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

17%

83%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 16.76%5.97fair odd

EV +4.44%

Edge +0.713%

Kelly +0.849%

Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 6.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.12%16.87%16.73%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.535.506.2320.00%18.08%18.18%16.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 83.24%1.20fair odd

EV -5.11%

Edge -4.48%

Kelly -36.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.70%83.13%83.27%84.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.131.131.1490.09%88.74%88.50%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 16.76%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 83.24%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	6.23I 16.05%NM 15.12%EV +4.44%E +0.713%K +0.849%G +0.038%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.88%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-27 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	6.23I 16.05%NM 15.12%EV +4.44%E +0.713%K +0.849%G +0.038%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.88%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-27 20:10
BetUS🎯	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -1.09%E -0.185%K -0.223%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.16%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 20:10
FanDuel🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.77%E -0.477%K -0.577%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-27 17:54
BetMGM🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.61%E -0.627%K -0.759%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.72%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 17:45
DraftKings🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.44%E -0.780%K -0.946%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.72%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-27 14:39
Bovada🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.12%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-27 15:27
1xBet🎯	5.52I 18.12%NM 16.87%EV -7.46%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.13%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.46%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-27 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 17:09
888sport🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 15:44
888sport (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 15:44
theScore Bet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-27 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.15%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.72%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-27 18:00
Fliff🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -11.99%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.16%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-27 17:54
BetRivers🎯	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-27 17:55
betPARX🎯	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-27 17:54
Bally Bet🎯	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.51%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-27 17:55
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.18%E -3.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.46%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-27 15:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%	5.7%	2026-03-27 19:55