The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 45.24%2.21fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.48%45.09%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.092.1551.28%48.51%47.85%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 54.76%1.83fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.52%54.91%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.711.8059.88%58.03%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 45.24%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 54.76%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.72%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 16:38
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.53%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.99%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.37%E -3.72%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.99%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.37%E -3.72%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 19:55
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.99%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.37%E -3.72%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 16:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.44%E -2.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.37%E -3.72%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.44%E -2.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.37%E -3.72%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 17:55
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 20:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 19:40
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.70%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.99%E -1.11%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.87%E -5.52%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.18%E -2.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 20:25
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.87%E -5.52%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.18%E -2.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.87%E -5.52%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.18%E -2.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 20:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.77%E -6.04%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.44%E -0.800%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%5.8%2026-05-15 21:40