The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 47.90%2.09fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.52%48.07%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.952.0255.56%51.71%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 52.10%1.92fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.814%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%51.48%51.93%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.801.9556.50%54.95%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 47.90%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 52.10%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.77%E -7.65%K -17.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.59%E +0.814%K +1.67%G +0.027%6.8%2026-05-16 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -2.06%E -1.10%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 17:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -2.06%E -1.10%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -2.06%E -1.10%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 14:54
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:10
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.71%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 13:35
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 13:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 14:49
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 04:35
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 06:48
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 35.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 64.07%21.0%2026-05-16 17:45