Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 45.08%2.22fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.26%45.09%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1050.00%48.22%48.08%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 54.92%1.82fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.74%54.91%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.711.7759.17%58.55%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 45.08%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 54.92%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:59
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 09:33
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:39
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.78%E -2.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.78%E -2.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 17:04
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 13:15
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:35
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:35
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 08:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-04-05 17:55