Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 52.46%1.91fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.15%52.48%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.771.8757.14%55.91%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 47.54%2.10fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.85%47.52%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.972.0053.48%51.00%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 52.46%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 47.54%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.89%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.11%E -5.94%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 15:24
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.21%E -4.82%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.83%E -3.49%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:35
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:46
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.78%E -4.01%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 16:39
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.03%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.93%E -2.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.03%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.93%E -2.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.03%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.93%E -2.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 15:54
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.03%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.93%E -2.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 16:04
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.19%E -4.68%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 15:43
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.19%E -4.68%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 15:43
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.19%E -4.68%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 15:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%5.0%2026-04-03 17:40