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Iowa Hawkeyes v Illinois Fighting Illini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)
assuming max odds 1.67
Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 58.68%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 41.32%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -11.98%E -7.98%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +4.53%E +1.79%K +2.96%G +0.134% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -11.98%E -7.98%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +4.53%E +1.79%K +2.96%G +0.134% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.63%E -6.25%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.401%E +0.165%K +0.281%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -7.45%E -3.33%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.45%E -3.33%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.57% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.43% | 17.7% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |