The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Illinois Fighting Illini

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 56.02%1.79fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.79%56.13%55.99%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.681.7061.73%59.83%59.52%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.87%44.01%45.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.142.152.2548.54%46.71%46.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 56.02%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 43.98%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.40%E -4.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.40%E -4.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 19:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.40%E -4.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:05
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 09:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.20%E -3.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 17:09
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 01:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 20:59
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.04%E -0.464%K -0.836%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -1.48%E -0.663%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -1.48%E -0.663%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%5.3%2026-05-01 22:39