The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Illinois Fighting Illini

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 58.81%1.70fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.73%58.86%59.08%61.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.56%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 41.19%2.43fair odd
EV +0.085%
Edge +0.035%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%41.14%40.92%43.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4346.51%43.84%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 58.81%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 41.19%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.428. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.430, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.085%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.085%E +0.035%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.085%E +0.035%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:20
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.085%E +0.035%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.21%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.45%E -1.92%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.96%E -1.79%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:49
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -4.14%E -2.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -9.80%E -4.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.55%E -2.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.45%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.55%E -2.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.45%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:00
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.55%E -2.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.45%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%4.1%2026-05-02 18:45