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Indiana St Sycamores v Southern Illinois Salukis

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana St Sycamores (Local)

Prediction 62.45%1.60fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.38%62.39%62.45%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.501.5567.57%66.45%66.45%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit)

Prediction 37.55%2.66fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%37.61%37.55%38.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.482.492.5541.67%40.26%40.16%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana St Sycamores (Local): 62.45%; Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit): 37.55%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -3.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.20%E -2.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.88%E -2.78%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.45%E -2.91%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.70%E -3.77%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 13:39
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.70%E -3.77%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 13:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.70%E -3.77%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.63%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.26%E -2.94%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 17:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.