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Indiana St Sycamores v Southern Illinois Salukis

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana St Sycamores (Local)

Prediction 63.98%1.56fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -6.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.26%64.41%63.98%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.481.5171.43%68.60%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit)

Prediction 36.02%2.78fair odd
EV -0.944%
Edge -0.343%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.59%36.02%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.652.602.7539.22%37.75%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana St Sycamores (Local): 63.98%; Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit): 36.02%. For Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.944%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.39%E -2.25%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 11:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 15:10
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.15%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.91%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.944%E -0.343%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 14:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.944%E -0.343%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.944%E -0.343%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.