Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers v Wright St Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 58.87%1.70fair odd
EV +0.667%
Edge +0.390%
Kelly +0.940%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%58.49%58.82%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.7164.52%62.06%62.11%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wright St Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 41.13%2.43fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%41.51%41.18%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.252.272.3547.85%44.46%43.96%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 58.87%; Wright St Raiders (Visit): 41.13%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.667%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.667%E +0.390%K +0.940%G +0.006%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +0.667%E +0.390%K +0.940%G +0.006%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -14.04%E -6.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +0.667%E +0.390%K +0.940%G +0.006%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -14.04%E -6.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -4.63%E -2.86%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -9.10%E -4.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:48
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.22%E -3.24%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 16:45
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -5.22%E -3.24%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -8.69%E -3.91%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:05
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.22%E -3.24%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.99%E -4.42%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 16:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 16:54
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -8.75%E -5.65%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -8.75%E -5.65%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -8.75%E -5.65%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%5.1%2026-03-10 19:59