Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 77.74%1.29fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -11.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.75%77.65%78.04%79.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.211.2586.21%83.04%82.99%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV +0.192%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.49%22.35%21.96%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.194.284.5027.03%23.85%23.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 77.74%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 22.26%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.192%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.50%E -6.30%K -39.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.055%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 15:28
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.83%E -8.47%K -61.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.055%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 15:49
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.83%E -8.47%K -61.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.055%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.83%E -8.47%K -61.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV +0.192%E +0.043%K +0.055%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 15:50
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.15%EV -8.27%E -7.01%K -45.96%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -0.254%E -0.057%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.94%E -4.91%K -28.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 15:44
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:43
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.94%E -4.91%K -28.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.37%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 15:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -8.27%E -7.01%K -45.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -5.37%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.05%E -3.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -14.50%E -3.78%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -14.50%E -3.78%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.39%E -4.05%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:54
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -17.62%E -4.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%5.0%2026-03-08 15:44