Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 71.14%1.41fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.42%70.92%71.11%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.311.3876.92%75.47%76.05%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 28.86%3.46fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.780%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.08%28.89%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.993.203.233.4033.44%31.22%31.01%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 71.14%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 28.86%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.38, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -1.83%E -1.32%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -13.71%E -4.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -1.83%E -1.32%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -13.71%E -4.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 17:35
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -3.96%E -2.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -12.55%E -4.14%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.67%E -3.49%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.67%E -3.49%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 14:05
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 17:55
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.52%E -5.78%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -7.52%E -5.78%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -5.34%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.52%E -5.78%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:25
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.52%E -5.78%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.52%E -5.78%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.52%E -5.78%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45