Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers v Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 59.71%1.67fair odd

EV -0.291%

Edge -0.174%

Kelly -0.435%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.85%59.54%59.49%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.571.551.6765.36%63.76%64.52%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit)

Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd

EV -1.28%

Edge -0.522%

Kelly -0.882%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.44%40.46%40.51%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.64%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 59.71%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 40.29%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.675. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.670, with an expected value of -0.291%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.291%E -0.174%K -0.435%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-03 19:05
DraftKings🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.47%E -2.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-03 17:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-03 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-03 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-03 21:15
BetUS🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-03 21:14
1xBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -4.91%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-03 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-03 18:13
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-03 18:10
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.28%E -0.522%K -0.882%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-03 17:20
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-03 18:10
betPARX🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-03 18:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-03 18:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%	5.0%	2026-04-03 21:44