The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Indiana Hoosiers v Illinois Fighting Illini

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.70%47.45%46.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.982.002.0353.48%50.40%50.00%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 52.91%1.89fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.55%53.05%53.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.781.771.8757.47%56.26%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 47.09%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 52.91%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.40%E -2.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.76%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.88%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.82%E -3.27%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 04:39
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 04:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:10
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:40
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.94%E -4.56%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.94%E -6.38%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.06%E -0.567%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 34.73%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%15.2%2026-05-16 17:45