The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Incarnate Word Cardinals v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV +0.259%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%44.50%44.30%47.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.002.2550.25%48.03%50.00%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.93%55.50%55.70%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.741.7761.73%58.75%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local): 44.56%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 55.44%. For Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.259%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.259%E +0.115%K +0.207%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:34
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.895%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.17%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.97%E -0.895%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:09
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:09
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:09
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -11.33%E -5.69%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%8.8%2026-05-09 17:49