The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois St Redbirds v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois St Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 40.45%2.47fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%40.70%40.33%42.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.282.292.3545.87%43.88%43.76%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 59.55%1.68fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -7.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.67%59.30%59.67%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.581.6064.94%63.36%63.29%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois St Redbirds (Local): 40.45%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 59.55%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -4.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 06:49
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 01:29
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 01:45
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 09:34
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.34%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.92%E -3.74%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 15:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -7.36%E -3.22%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -5.92%E -3.74%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 15:53
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.77%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.92%E -3.74%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 21:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.98%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.51%E -4.15%K -11.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 15:49
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.98%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.30%E -5.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-24 15:09
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.81%E -5.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-24 15:45
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.81%E -5.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-24 15:44
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.81%E -5.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-24 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%5.3%2026-03-24 21:40