Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois St Redbirds v Eastern Illinois Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois St Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 50.67%1.97fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.58%50.39%50.00%52.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.35%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 49.33%2.03fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.62%49.61%50.00%52.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.861.871.9856.50%53.63%53.48%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois St Redbirds (Local): 50.67%; Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit): 49.33%. For Illinois St Redbirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.20%E -0.615%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -1.20%E -0.615%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -12.68%E -7.16%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -1.20%E -0.615%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -12.68%E -7.16%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:10
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -1.20%E -0.615%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -12.68%E -7.16%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.25%E -3.86%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 16:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.72%E -5.31%K -11.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.32%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:15
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-05-12 21:15