Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.58
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 37.25%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 62.75%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -3.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -3.89%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -4.27%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -4.27%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.01%E -1.97%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.38%E -2.12%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -6.13%E -2.43%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -6.13%E -2.43%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.87%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -9.48%E -3.90%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |