The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 32.09%3.12fair odd
EV -0.848%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%32.28%32.56%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.903.0937.74%34.42%34.48%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 67.91%1.47fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.79%67.72%67.44%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.381.4573.53%72.17%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 32.09%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 67.91%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.09, with an expected value of -0.848%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -0.848%E -0.274%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -0.848%E -0.274%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 17:14
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 14:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:34
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:34
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:05
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:20
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:20
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.36%E -4.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.53%E -1.05%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:34
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -14.97%E -5.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.21%E -1.53%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%5.2%2026-04-18 19:34