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Illinois Fighting Illini v Oregon Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
assuming max odds 3.02
Oregon Ducks (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 32.47%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 67.53%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.02, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -1.94%E -0.642%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.48%E -5.46%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -1.94%E -0.642%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.48%E -5.46%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.59%E -0.863%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.59%E -0.863%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.48%E -5.46%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.78%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -8.43%E -2.99%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.08%E -1.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.11%E -2.89%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.11%E -2.89%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.11%E -2.89%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 20:15 |