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Illinois Fighting Illini v Northwestern Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
assuming max odds 1.32
Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 71.92%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 28.08%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -9.29%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 22:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.70%E -0.487%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.