The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Northwestern Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 75.34%1.33fair odd
EV -5.82%
Edge -4.66%
Kelly -23.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.14%75.34%76.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.251.2581.97%80.50%80.00%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 24.66%4.06fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%24.86%24.66%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.803.9028.57%26.46%26.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 75.34%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 24.66%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -3.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -5.32%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -5.32%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:09
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 04:09
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 11:54
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:14
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -7.33%E -5.96%K -31.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -4.34%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.08%E -6.62%K -36.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.84%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 09:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.