The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 44.66%2.24fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%44.64%44.64%46.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.082.3050.00%47.68%48.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 55.34%1.81fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%55.36%55.36%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.681.691.7462.89%59.35%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 44.66%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 55.34%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +2.73%E +1.19%K +2.10%G +0.057%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.02%E -7.56%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 16:13
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.31%E -2.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 15:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.21%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.38%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.21%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 14:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 15:08
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:40
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 15:03
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -9.33%E -4.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 20:10
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.67%E -5.34%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-13 22:44