The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Cougars v UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 62.77%1.59fair odd
EV -0.198%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%62.73%62.66%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.501.5968.97%66.59%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit)

Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%37.27%37.34%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.20%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 62.77%; UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit): 37.23%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.593. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.590, with an expected value of -0.198%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.198%E -0.125%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 14:40
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 17:58
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 15:09
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 02:04
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:24
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:25
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.